FX rates (last) and forecasts (end 2024/end 2025)

EUR/USD 1.0982 1.1093 1.1521      GBP/USD 1.3108 1.323 1.37      USD/JPY 147.9603 144.1576 130.6527      USD/CAD 1.3641 1.3512 1.3033      USD/CHF 0.8569 0.8573 0.8591      USD/SEK 10.3342 10.1331 9.408      USD/NOK 10.642 10.4107 9.5815      USD/PLN 3.9231 3.8887 3.7616      USD/CZK 23.0495 22.9562 22.6072      USD/HUF 364.7332 357.6377 332.0552      EUR/GBP 0.8378 0.8384 0.8409      EUR/JPY 162.49 159.9085 150.5205      EUR/CAD 1.4981 1.4988 1.5014      EUR/CHF 0.941 0.951 0.9897      EUR/SEK 11.349 11.2402 10.8386      EUR/NOK 11.687 11.5482 11.0385      EUR/PLN 4.3083 4.3136 4.3336      EUR/CZK 25.313 25.4645 26.045      EUR/HUF 400.55 396.7138 382.5496      GBP/CAD 1.7882 1.7876 1.7854      GBP/CHF 1.1232 1.1342 1.1769      GBP/JPY 193.9531 190.7209 178.9888      GBP/SEK 13.5465 13.4061 12.8885      GBP/NOK 13.95 13.7734 13.1262      GBP/PLN 5.1425 5.1448 5.1533      GBP/CZK 30.2144 30.3712 30.9709      GBP/HUF 478.1088 473.1557 454.9019      CAD/CHF 0.6281 0.6345 0.6592      CAD/JPY 108.4641 106.6911 100.2507      CAD/SEK 7.5756 7.4995 7.2188      CAD/NOK 7.8012 7.705 7.3519      CAD/PLN 2.8758 2.878 2.8863      CAD/CZK 16.8967 16.9899 17.3467      CAD/HUF 267.372 264.6878 254.7882      CHF/USD 1.1671 1.1664 1.1641      CHF/JPY 172.678 168.15 152.0894      CHF/SEK 12.0606 11.8195 10.9516      CHF/NOK 12.4198 12.1434 11.1535      CHF/PLN 4.5784 4.5359 4.3788      CHF/HUF 425.6642 417.1599 386.5368      CHF/CZK 26.9001 26.7769 26.3164

Team

Piotr Wdowiński

Co-Founder

Piotr Wdowiński is Associate Professor and Head of The Econometrics Department at The University of Lodz, Poland. He is a former Director of The Institute of Econometrics at The University of Lodz. In the past, he used to work as an economist at The Polish Financial Supervision Authority. He is the author of monographs and scientific publications in peer-reviewed journals, the principal researcher in European Union projects, The Committee for Scientific Research and The National Science Center. He is also the editor-in-chief of The Econometric Research in Finance journal. Piotr Wdowiński specializes in econometric modelling and forecasting of macroeconomic and financial processes, financial stability and macroprudential policy. He is a lecturer in econometrics, forecasting and data science. He has considerable experience in using econometric software and Linux server systems.

Michał Rubaszek

Co-Founder

Michał Rubaszek is Associate Professor and Head of Financial Markets Modelling Unit at SGH Warsaw School of Economics. In the past, he used to work as an economic advisor in the National Bank of Poland (Research Department) as well as expert in the European Central Bank (DG Economics). His research interest covers international economics, forecasting, heterogeneous agent models and exchange rate economics. He published in International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of International Economics, European Economic Review, Journal of Money, Credit & Banking, Journal of International Money & Finance and Energy Economics.

Forecasts

The Economic and Financial Forecasts IPEF system was created to help businesses and individuals manage medium-term risk related to the future dynamics of key variables. The underlying procedures are based on the results of most recent studies focusing on forecasting financial variables, which have been published in recognized academic journals. To this end, the IPEF forecasting system has been developed to provide a bridge between businesses’ needs and the findings of academic research.

All forecasts are calculated and updated automatically once a day. They are based on econometric models and the most recent information from financial markets. Calculations are done in R/Shiny statistical package.

The current version is limited to major exchange rates, however future extensions for other variables, e.g. interest rates and commodity prices are to be expected.

Disclaimer: The information provided does not constitute professional financial investment advice. The IPEF is not an investment advisor, broker or dealer and it does not rely on any insider information.

Mission

The Economic and Financial Forecasts IPEF's mission is to bridge the gap between the business needs and the findings of academic research.

Vision

The Economic and Financial Forecasts IPEF's vision is to make the best use of statistical and econometric methods to improve the quality of models and forecasts.

Forecasting systems

based on econometric models

and recent studies

Systems

Exchange rates

The IPEF exchange rate forecasting system is based on the results of a number of recent studies showing that exchange rates are predictable. They indicate that exchange rates are attracted towards their equilibrium levels. Spot exchange rates within the system are updated daily (at midnight CET) from Eurostat. Equilibrium exchange rates are updated monthly using macroeconomic data taken from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). All calculations on raw data are done by IPEF in R/Shiny statistical package. The IPEF system uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. With the IPEF system you can easily forecast exchange rates of major currencies, e.g. EUR/USD, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP and more. You can use the forecasts in Forex trading and FX hedging strategies.

Contact

E-mail
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